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Ontario has inexpensive choices to satisfy rising electrical energy demand with out ramping up fossil fuels

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Specialists name for rapid investments in zero carbon options to modernize Ontario’s electrical energy grid whereas guaranteeing reliability and affordability

A contemporary, Ontario grid

Credit: The Atmospheric Fund

Credit score: The Atmospheric Fund

Toronto, ON, Nov. 30, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — A brand new report by Energy Advisory, Eventualities for a Web-Zero Electrical energy System in Ontario, demonstrates that Ontario can meet its rising electrical energy calls for with dependable, inexpensive vitality options which can be aligned with the worldwide transition to net-zero carbon emissions. The report compares a number of paths for Ontario to supply a net-zero grid by 2035, and identifies important planning and investments required.

This analysis, commissioned by The Atmospheric Fund (TAF), comes at a pivotal time because the province begins its procurement that may add new fossil gas era to deal with rising electrical energy wants. Ontario at present has one of many cleanest electrical energy grids in North America. Nevertheless, the province’s plan to satisfy rising electrical energy demand with pure fuel era is projected to extend grid emissions by 260 per cent by 2040. Such a transfer would guarantee grid reliability, however would value Ontarians extra and undermine the advantages of electrification. As Energy Advisory’s report reveals, these dangers are pointless.

“We have now the once-in-a-generation alternative to construct an electrical energy system that expands Ontario’s clear electrical energy benefit and meets the wants of each city and rural communities,” says Julia Langer, CEO of The Atmospheric Fund. “A modernized and decarbonized grid would take away boundaries and increase alternatives for companies, communities, and municipalities that need to attain their local weather targets and develop their very own vitality tasks.”

Importantly, the modelling work reveals that it’s extra inexpensive to satisfy rising electrical energy demand by a mixture of vitality effectivity, photo voltaic, wind and storage, than it’s to ramp up pure fuel. Present fuel crops could be restricted to making sure grid reliability, with complete output properly beneath as we speak’s ranges. Via this method, Ontario can cut back emissions to 85 per cent beneath projected ranges by 2035, whereas retaining wholesale electrical energy charges on par with as we speak’s costs. The analysis additionally frames an pressing want for important planning and at-scale investments in decentralized, small-scale vitality provide and demand sources. This might in flip allow large-scale renewable vitality tasks with longer lead occasions. These are the first constructing blocks of a contemporary, 21st-century electrical energy grid.

“It’s properly established that Ontario’s coal phase-out was a world-leading accomplishment, later copied by jurisdictions all over the world. It visibly improved the standard of life for thousands and thousands of Ontarians and helped make the province a vacation spot for cutting-edge, growth-oriented companies and expertise. Now, as a substitute of leaning into our benefit, we threat falling behind as different jurisdictions put money into the clear grid infrastructure that the worldwide economic system calls for,” says Langer.

A key discovering of Energy Advisory’s analysis is that the longer Ontario waits to behave, the riskier and costlier will probably be to modernize our grid.

“Energy Advisory’s modelling makes use of practical assumptions that take into account present insurance policies, rules, and rising developments within the energy system, in line with the electrical energy system operator’s personal modelling. All eventualities display the necessity for rapid motion and the advantages of constant funding over the following decade within the electrical energy sector,” says Travis Lusney, Director of Energy Methods at Energy Advisory. “Power infrastructure takes time to construct, we have to act now with the precise enabling investments to put the foundations for a net-zero grid by 2035. Delays and a slim focus dangers taking probably the most cost-effective options off the desk.”

Energy Advisory’s suggestions come off the heels of TAF’s annual GTHA Carbon Emissions Stock, which reveals that carbon emissions within the Larger Toronto and Hamilton Space elevated by 4.5 per cent in 2021. One of many key drivers of rising emissions is the usage of pure fuel for electrical energy era. During the last two years, 34 Ontario municipalities have endorsed a pure fuel plant phaseout, together with Toronto, Ottawa, and Hamilton.

To view the complete Eventualities for a Web-Zero Electrical energy System in Ontario report, go to:

Extra Fast Details

  • To help economy-wide electrification, electrical energy calls for in Ontario are anticipated to extend by 62 per cent by 2035 (supply: Energy Advisory/ IESO).

  • Ontario has one of many cleanest grids in North America at 91 per cent fossil-free as we speak supply: IESO), however the province’s present plan to increase pure fuel era is projected to extend grid emissions by 260 per cent by 2040 (supply: TAF).

  • The US is investing $200 billion to ramp up photo voltaic, wind, vitality storage and vitality effectivity (supply: EDF), and 50 per cent of deliberate fuel crops within the U.S. have been cancelled (supply: RMI).

  • The price of wind and photo voltaic have dropped by 72 per cent and 90 per cent, respectively, during the last decade, and are at present the most cost effective sources of latest electrical energy era (supply: Lazard).

  • Wind and photo voltaic comprised 75 per cent of latest put in capability globally in 2021, up from 23 per cent in 2009 (supply: Bloomberg NEF)


About The Atmospheric Fund

The Atmospheric Fund (TAF) is a regional local weather company that invests in low-carbon options for the Larger Toronto and Hamilton Space and helps scale them up for broad implementation. We’re skilled leaders and collaborate with stakeholders within the personal, public and non-profit sectors who’ve concepts and alternatives for lowering carbon emissions. Supported by endowment funds, we advance probably the most promising ideas by investing, offering grants, influencing insurance policies and operating applications. We’re notably interested by concepts that supply advantages along with carbon discount comparable to bettering folks’s well being, creating native jobs, boosting city resiliency, and contributing to a good society.

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About Energy Advisory

Energy Advisory is an electrical energy sector administration consulting agency with deep experience within the Canadian and US electrical energy markets. We have now sturdy worth forecasting capabilities for numerous electrical energy companies and may supply in-depth evaluation on market design, regulatory framework, and funding alternatives.  Our market assessments are sturdy and replicate deep understanding of the facility system, market design and funding local weather. Moreover, we’re usually known as upon by purchasers to critically assess venture economics and to judge the reasonableness of their underlying assumptions in each wholesale and controlled markets. Energy Advisory was shaped in 2007. We preserve workplaces within the Metropolitan Boston space, Calgary and Toronto.

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CONTACT: Julie Leach The Atmospheric Fund 4163936382

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